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The following appeared as part of an editorial in a weekly newsmagazine.
�Historically, most of this country�s engineers have come from our universities;
recently, however, our university-age population has begun to shrink, and
decreasing enrollments in our high schools clearly show that this drop in numbers
will continue throughout the remainder of the decade. Consequently, our nation
will soon be facing a shortage of trained engineers. If we are to remain
economically competitive in the world marketplace, then, we must increase funding
for education�and quickly.�
Argument Page numbers
Discuss how well reasoned... etc.
An editorial in a weekly news magazine warns that we must quickly increase funding for education in order to remain economically
competitive in the world marketplace. The line of reasoning is that the nation will soon face a shortage of engineers because engineers
have come from universities, and that our university-age population is shrinking. Moreover, decreasing enrollments in high schools clearly
show that this drop in university-age students will continue throughout the decade. The author�s argument is not convincing because it is
based on several questionable assumptions.
First, the author assumes that because our university-age population is shrinking, university enrollments will likewise shrink. But even if
the number of university-age students is dropping, it is possible that a greater proportion of those students will enter universities. If
this percentage were sufficiently large, university enrollments could remain relatively stable. Moreover, even if overall university
enrollments did drop, we must further assume that the number of engineering students would likewise drop. However, decreases in
overall enrollments do no necessarily result in proportional enrollment decreases in each field of study. If demand for engineers were
high, then a larger percentage of university students might study to become engineers, in which case engineering enrollments could
increase or remain constant, while those in other major fields of study would drop disproportionately.
An additional assumption is that economic success in the world marketplace depends on the number of engineers produced by our
universities. This assumption is simplistic. Professionals in other fields�such as agriculture, banking, and business�may contribute
equally to our global success. The author does not explain why the predicted shortage of engineers is more critical than shortages in
other fields that might result from shrinking university enrollments. Nor does the author demonstrate that providing more funds for
education will correct the predicted shortage of engineers. Even if all of the previous assumptions are accepted, no connection between
increased funding and the desired enrollment increase has been established.
In conclusion, the author has failed to make a convincing case for increased funding for education. Before we accept the conclusion, the
author must provide evidence that we face a critical shortage of engineers, and that increased funding will have direct bearing on
correcting this shortage. As it stands, both these claims rest on unwarranted assumptions.
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